Friday, March 13, 2026
This Polycrisis Is Unique
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When understood as a wave, the current Everything Bubble is not sustainable. The problem with predictions based on the past is the an...
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Paging Nostradamus: You Have a Margin Call
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If conditions change beneath the surface, the folks behind the curtain will be powerless to do anything but make it worse. This just i...
Monday, March 09, 2026
Iran, En-Lai, Napoleon, Mike Tyson and Model Collapse
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Every model that is incapable of recognizing its own failure has already crossed the event horizon into model collapse. Let's start...
Friday, March 06, 2026
Perverse Incentives Have Created a Runaway Media Monster
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A Monster Id of self-reinforcing perverse incentives is gathering strength with every click, every data point collected and every unseen alg...
Tuesday, March 03, 2026
Things Change
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In periods of uncommon volatility, crises and transitions manifest in unexpected ways. Things change, sometimes tumultuously. The unev...
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