Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Money, Credit, Growth and Depression: It's Complicated

If "growth" is all that matters, that leads to depending on credit and asset bubbles, which are self-liquidating in ways few see because, well, it's complicated.

Many people anticipate the demise of fiat currencies, for good reasons. This is the motivation for calls to return to the gold standard--currency backed by the tangible value of gold--or the equivalent use of bitcoin.

What few seem to ask is: why did authorities embrace fiat currencies in the first place? What prompted them to replace a gold-backed monetary system with a fiat currency system?

Were they misled by monetary theories, or delusional, or merely desperate?

Let's consider the complications of money in a system that demands "growth." As I noted in my recent post for subscribers, Not What We Expected: Why Our Fixes Will Fail, if banks are allowed to originate loans based on reserves--fractional reserve banking--then most of the "money in circulation" is created not by adding gold or bitcoin to the system but by originating mortgages, commercial credit, etc.

If credit is limited to loaning out a percentage of cash deposits, credit becomes scarce, and everything that depends on abundant, affordable credit--vehicle sales, real estate purchases, college diplomas, consumer credit--all dry up and blow away. This collapse of "growth" is called a depression. Without credit, assets collapse in value, savings are depleted to pay bills as employment shrinks, and so on.

This is why the early American economy was starved for credit: everybody wanted to do something great but they had no access to the money needed to do something great. Banks arose and failed, wiping out savers and borrowers alike, as loans were called and assets were liquidated for pennies on the dollar.

So how do you expand credit without expanding money in circulation? You can't, as credit-money is money, period. So $1 billion in gold or bitcoin backs the money supply, but what happens when banks issue $10 billion in mortgages and loans, money that is created out of thin air and enters circulation? Every dollar that was backed by X quantity of gold or BTC is now backed by 1/10th of X.

Then there's foreign trade. If imports and exports don't zero out--$1 billion in imports is balanced by $1 billion in exports--then the balance is paid in gold. Nations running trade deficits eventually run out of gold.

This was the case for the US in the late 1960s and early 1970s, when the US ran sustained trade deficits with its allies for geopolitical reasons: it was deemed essential to prop up our allies to ward off the threat of the USSR and the appeal of Communism. Let your economy slide into Depression, and the promises of Communism start looking very attractive to people immiserated by impoverishment.

Once a nation runs out of gold, trade deficits are no longer possible. The problem is that sometimes trade deficits make economic or geopolitical sense, and so ending trade deficits is catastrophic for both importer and exporter.

OK, it's complicated. But it gets more complicated.

There's an interesting phenomenon we call The Network Effect: the more people that start using a network--for example, an online platform--the more useful and valuable the network becomes to both the users and the owners.

For example, Meta/Facebook. When FB was limited to university students, it was of limited value to users. Once it expanded to a global user base of 3 billion people, it became more valuable to users and its owners, as the data collected from users and sold to advertisers became much more valuable. Meta is now worth $1.9 trillion, larger than the GDP of Spain or South Korea. That's The Network Effect.

Currencies also manifest The Network Effect: the greater the sum in global circulation, the more valuable the currency becomes. (Note that issuing $1 trillion in a currency isn't the same as $1 trillion in global circulation: the currency must have some value and utility to be circulating in the global economy.)

The utility of a currency isn't based solely on the quantity in circulation, of course; a currency's value is based on trust in the currency as a reliable store of value over the duration of the trade, its status as a commodity of known value that everyone will accept in payment, its liquidity, i.e. the ease of converting it into some other currency or commodity, and the "backing" of the currency: the central bank and national economy that issues it.

The nation that issues the currency with the greatest Network Effect has an exorbitant privilege: it can issue bonds and emit fresh currency in size that enter circulation, in effect trading fiat currency backed by The Network Effect for real-world commodities.

As many have pointed out, this is both a blessing and a curse. But it's hard to part with the power generated by The Network Effect--not just for the #1 currency, but the #2 and #3 and #4 currencies as well.

The real problem here isn't just the complications of money: it's the insanity of needing "growth" by any means available, including borrowing more money than can ever be paid back and debauching the currency to maintain the illusion of "growth" even as the resulting inflation slowly impoverishes the majority of the population who have been reduced to debt-serfs or speculators counting on credit-driven bubbles in stocks and real estate to maintain their lifestyle and financial security.

If "growth" is the Prime Directive, then credit and fiat currency become the means to achieve it. That's the story of the 20th century. That was the "blessing" phase. The story of the 21st century is the "curse" phase, and there is no exit if "growth" is all that matters, because that leads to depending on credit and asset bubbles, which are self-liquidating in ways few see because, well, it's complicated.




Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



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Thursday, September 18, 2025

Is This the Last Bubble?

The consensus holds there will be another bubble after the Everything Bubble pops, but this might be misplaced confidence in the godlike powers of central banks.

The consensus holds that central banks--the Federal Reserve in the US--will gradually inflate away the world's rising debt burden while propping up assets and the economy with the usual bag of monetary magic: suppress interest rates so debt service costs ease, increase the money supply and credit to prop up asset bubbles in stocks and housing, and thereby generate growth in consumption via the elixir of "the wealth effect:" as assets loft higher, everyone feels richer and so they borrow and spend more.

Well, not everyone, because only the top 10% own enough assets to feel "the wealth effect," but since they account for 50% of all consumer spending, that's enough to maintain the status quo, in which the bottom 90% lose ground (especially the bottom 60%) and the top 10% are doing splendidly.

Should the bubble du jour pop, no worries, central banks will rush to the rescue as they have for 25 years, goosing money supply and credit, opening the floodgates of liquidity, pushing interest rates down so everyone and every entity can borrow and spend / speculate more, more, more.

This is a nice story, and proponents have the past 25 years of history to back it up. But beneath the surface appeal of this story--a Hollywood ending every time, as the Fed will inflate another bubble, one after the other in an endless loop--there are stirrings in the deep that suggest the Everything Bubble is the last bubble of its kind, and attempts to inflate another bubble when this one pops will collapse the entire rickety contraption.

In other words, everything is forever until it is no more. Let's consider some points that speak to the nature of speculative bubbles.

1. Speculative bubbles don't require central banks increasing money supply and manipulating interest rates. Recency bias leads us to imagine that central bank policies inflate and pop speculative bubbles via monetary levers, but the colossal South Seas Bubble in 1720 that popped with such devastating consequences arose and fell in the pre-central bank era. The madness of crowds--or more specifically, the greed-driven madness of greedy crowds is the core driver of speculative frenzies / bubbles.

2. Confidence is the foundation of speculative frenzies. Yes, confidence, as in a con. Back in 1720, the South Seas Company was supported by the establishment, and so confidence was high that it was a can't lose proposition. The riches skimmed by early investors encouraged this confidence.

Today, confidence that the Fed will rush to the rescue should the Everything Bubble pop is high, as is the confidence that the AI Bubble isn't a bubble because AI is going to change everything and that transformation will be immensely profitable--if not for the gold miners, then for those selling the miners picks and shovels.

3. Quasi-religious fervor, confidence, staggering gains and speculative frenzies all meld into one overflowing river, sweeping all before it. The primary force here is the belief that this isn't irrational, or speculative--it's all based on solid facts. That this was the exact same belief that powered bubbles in 1720, 1925-1929, 1998-2000 and 2004-2008 is brushed aside, for as we all know, this time it's different. Of course it is, but perhaps not in the way that the consensus anticipates.

Just as a break from all the fun and games, let's consider a chart of M2 money supply, generally conceded as the driver of stocks rising, and compare it to GDP--a measure of economic expansion--and the S&P 500 stock index (SPX).



It's interesting to note the ratio of M2 and GDP. That money supply and economic expansion would rise together qualifies as common sense, but what makes this interesting is the slippage in the ratio.

For two decades, GDP was roughly double M2. In 1981, M2 was $1.6 trillion and GDP was $3.1 trillion. In 2001, M2 was $5 trillion and GDP was $10.5 trillion. So far so good.

In Q1 2009, at the bottom of the stock market crash / Global Financial Crisis, there was bit of slippage: M2 was $8.4 trillion and GDP was $14.4 trillion--no longer 1 to 2.

By the pre-Covid high watermark of Q1 2020, M2 was $15.5 trillion and GDP was $21.7 trillion. After the Covid crash and stimulus, here in Q2 2025 M2 is $22.1 trillion and GDP is $30.3 trillion-- 1 to 1.37.

There's a phrase that describes this: diminishing returns. Goosing money supply is no longer goosing GDP to the same degree it once did.

Meanwhile, back in Speculative Frenzy-Land, the SPX is up 10X, from the biblical low in Q1 2009 of 666 to today's high of 6660 (well, 6656, but close enough).

This suggests that the means of boosting GDP is now inflating bubbles, not actual economic activity. This is supported by the chart of money velocity, which is a measure of economic transactions across time. It's generally conceded that money velocity increases in good times and decays in not-to-good times. Here we see that money velocity has fallen off a cliff and never recovered the glory days of widespread, organically expanding economic activity.



It is not coincidental that the peak of money velocity in the mid-1990s Internet boom aligns with the peak of wage growth and the bottom 50%'s share of financial net worth. Simply put, the 1990s were the last era of widespread prosperity of the sort that actually "trickled down" to the bottom 90%. This was also the last era in which housing was broadly affordable to households with average incomes.



Saying that money velocity is an indicator of economic catastrophe doesn't go over well in polite company, but there it is. Somebody barfed in the punchbowl, sorry about that.

Lastly, consider this chart of debt and growth in the US, courtesy of Tim Morgan of the invaluable analytic site Surplus Energy Economics. Note that the blue indicators of growth are considerably smaller than the red indicators of debt.



Put all this together and it's clear that stock market and housing bubbles are the only sources of "growth," which is another way of saying that "growth" is a chimera masking the second-order effect of goosing money supply, credit, debt and speculative asset bubbles: extremes of wealth and income inequality as the top 10%'s wealth, income and spending have soared while the bottom 90% have fallen behind.



Consider the possibility that the AI Bubble is a close match for the 1720 South Seas Bubble, a bubble that sucked in the smart money (Sir Isaac Newton) and dumb money alike, and then collapsed in spectacular fashion wiping out true believers, gamblers, Wise Men and the credulous--everyone who participated other than those who sold early and stayed out as the bubble inflated to giddy heights. Due to the limitations of Wetware 1.0, the number of people who can manage to do that is so small that it's signal noise.

The consensus holds there will be another bubble after the AI Bubble / Everything Bubble pops, but this might be misplaced confidence in the godlike powers of central banks. If the Fed just gooses money supply, credit and crushes interest rates, the next bubble might be in the 2028 equivalent of Pet Rocks or Beanie Babies, it won't matter. There will always be another bubble because the Fed wills it to be so.

Or perhaps the limits of this serial bubble-blowing have already been reached, and this is the last, final bubble before the reckoning where the banquet of consequences has been set and Nemesis is catering what's served.


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

Subscribe to my Substack for free





NOTE: Contributions/subscriptions are acknowledged in the order received. Your name and email remain confidential and will not be given to any other individual, company or agency.

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Tuesday, September 16, 2025

The Moral Decay of Debt

Debt has moral implications, and in denying this, we're choosing a rendezvous with Nemesis

Let's start with a household analogy. A married couple have four fine children, and since expenses are higher than income, they borrow money in their children's names to fund their lifestyle and investments. Once the offspring reach 18 years of age, the debt their parents borrowed is theirs to service.

The offspring didn't get a say in how much money was borrowed or how it was spent, but the debt is now theirs to service (i.e. pay the interest) for their entire lifetimes, as the debt is simply too large to pay off with conventional wages.

The economy changed, and since wages don't go as far and costs keep rising, the four offspring borrow in their own children's names to afford the basics of a middle-class life.

The parents are now comfortably retired, drawing on their investments bought with borrowed money. The two generations behind them are now debt-serfs who funded their own lifestyles by borrowing even more money. Since the kind of house their parents bought for 3-times-income is now 6-times-income, the debt required to own a house and fund what is considered the minimum middle-class entitlements is multiples of their parents' borrowing.

Is anyone willing to call this offloading of ever-expanding debt onto future generations wrong, as in morally wrong, or have we lost the vocabulary and ability to declare the offloading of debt as morally disgraceful, a line that should never have been crossed?

Debt that cannot be extinguished and that is offloaded onto future generations is a manifestation of moral decay, a decay of the moral foundations of the economy and society that is terminal.

So here we are, cheering on a big reduction in the Fed Funds Rate to encourage an expansion of debt, as more debt means more spending and that means more taxes and corporate profits. The manipulation of interest rates and the financial machinery to encourage more debt is viewed as bloodless, absolutely devoid of moral judgment: when it comes to "growth" of asset prices, spending, taxes and profits, there is no wrong, as "growth" is the only good anyone cares about.

This is the perfection of moral decay. Offloading debt onto future generations--money borrowed to prop up a self-serving status quo that focused on expediencies, not future consequences--and then telling the debt-enslaved generations, "we'll inflate away the debt, and your wages will buy less and less, but no worries, we'll just borrow more to pay the interest due"--how is this not morally repulsive?

Here is Federal debt as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This is a better measure of consequences, for it illustrates the Federal government's ability to counter a deep recession by borrowing and spending trillions of dollars is now limited by extreme debt levels.



Those who track the history of government debt generally draw the red-line at 100% of GDP, so 120% is already deep in the danger zone. History is rather decisive: any attempt to add trillions in additional debt at these levels has zero chance of working as intended, i.e. a pain-free way to boost "growth."

Note the debt-to-GDP ratio actually declined during both the stagflationary 1970s and the 1990s Internet boom. In both eras, the economy was still largely organic, i.e. unmanipulated enough that natural forces (supply, demand, risk aversion, writedowns of bad debt, etc.) could work through excesses of speculation and debt and restore not just balance sheets but legitimacy.

The Federal Reserve no longer trusted the system's self-correcting capacity and leaped into full-blown manipulation of financial and mortgage markets in 2008-09. The debt-to-FDP ratio soared from 60% to 100% in the post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC) "save" of the Federal Reserve, which inflated the money supply and pushed ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) and QE (quantitative easing) to boost borrowing.

As a result, private-sector borrowing also skyrocketed. Now that households and enterprises have borrowed up to their capacity to service debt, their ability to "borrow their way to prosperity" is also constrained.

Here is total debt, public and private (TCMDO). In Q2 1975, total debt was $2.5 trillion. If this had tracked inflation, it would have reached $15 trillion by Q2 2025. ($1 in Q2 1975 is $6 in Q2 2025.) (BLS Inflation Calculator)



Let's say that debt can double the rate of inflation if it's being invested productively. That would put today's total debt at $30 trillion.

But total debt isn't close to $30 trillion; it's $104 trillion and climbing, suggesting 70+ trillion is "excess debt." As for all this borrowed money being invested productively--given "waste is growth" planned obsolescence and rampant asset appreciation / speculation, it seems obvious that most of this borrowed money was consumed by ephemeral products and services or squandered chasing asset bubbles.

Debt has implicit moral implications, and in denying this, we're choosing a rendezvous with Nemesis--a rendezvous with Destiny that will be arranged by Nemesis, not the Federal Reserve or the Treasury.

Yes, debt can be productive, but it can also be exploitive, and therein lies the moral implications. Debt can never be amoral or bloodless; its moral nature cannot be extinguished. We appear to be destined to discover this truth the hard way.


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

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Thank you, Richard S. ($70), for your marvelously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your steadfast support and readership.


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Thursday, September 11, 2025

Precarity and the Point of No Return

Or maybe it's just me, and all is well. Time will tell.

I often wonder if others feel the precarity of this era, or is it just me? It's hard to tell, as economic statistics don't measure precarity, they mostly measure averages and aggregates, all of which are glowing: GDP and profits up, unemployment low, and so on.

If precarity makes the news, it's the financial precarity experienced by many American households as costs rise and wages don't keep up, regardless of what the aggregate statistics are indicating.

This precarity is real, but it's not what's being featured. It's reflected in mirrors, not in headlines. In this mirror, we see millions of people pursuing side hustles and crowding into speculative casinos. If this isn't a reflection of desperation, it's something close to it. But this isn't news.

The precarity extends into the realms of public trust. Expertise backed by credentials--presented as evidence the public could trust the credentialed experts to serve the public interest with disinterested competence--have been eroded by self-interest. Public trust is as precarious as household budgets.

Faith in our future prospects is equally precarious. We're presented with an endless series of science-fiction fantasies brought to life--flying motorcycles, driverless taxis, household robots, energy so cheap we won't even bother metering it--but the mirror is reflecting a much different future, one of precarity, uncertainty and decay of what can't be measured like GDP or profits.

We all sense when we've reached a Point of No Return, a river like the Rubicon that should we cross it, there's no going back. There's another type of Point of No Return: the point in the journey where we realize we no longer have the resources to retrace our steps and return to the safety of what we left behind.

At this point, we can only go forward into an uncertain future, one without guarantees and one in which trust is diminishing as steadily as the water in our canteen. This is when the temptation to grasp at straws and seek scapegoats looms large, and the potential of losing our grip is a greater threat that the unknowns ahead.

There's a bad moon rising, and this makes our journey forward more precarious. We like to believe we're in control of our destiny, but the world around us has its own destiny, and we're making choices on a stage with its own gearing.



The gearing of precarity is guiding the machine, whether we're aware of it or not. I fear for the nation, as the journey ahead is faintly illuminated by a bad moon rising. I fear the dwindling sandbar between the raging currents of partisanship will disappear beneath my feet.



Or maybe it's just me, and all is well. Time will tell.


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

Subscribe to my Substack for free



My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

Subscribe to my Substack for free





NOTE: Contributions/subscriptions are acknowledged in the order received. Your name and email remain confidential and will not be given to any other individual, company or agency.

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Thank you, Robert S. ($70), for your marvelously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.


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Tuesday, September 09, 2025

"Upgrade Now" To Get What Was Previously Included At No Extra Charge

In this realm of extraction, exploitation, artifice and illusion, "growth" is garbage.

Tube of toothpaste: $4. Tube of toothpaste with cap: $5. You may reckon this is an exaggeration of the trend to coercing us to "upgrade now" to get what was previously included at no extra charge, but rest assured some marketing maven is reading this and thinking, hey, this is brilliant: we can make the cap leak or fall off, and then offer a Premium version with the cap they currently get for no extra charge.

We're being dimed to death by "Upgrade Now" to get what we once received at no extra charge. As I note in my new book Ultra-Processed Life, it's now impossible to parody the excesses of "upgrade now to Premium" because they're already self-parodying.

I didn't say nickel and dimed to death because inflation has already consumed the nickel. As costs soar, the nagging to "upgrade now to Premium" only intensifies.

The US Postal Service now offers Premium Tracking for a few extra dollars. When did regular tracking become so deficient that we now need Premium Tracking?

Airlines have squeezed more seats into the coach class to immiserate passengers to the point that they cave in and pay extra for an extra comfort seat which is only slightly more roomy than the standard coach seats of the 1980s.

The software you could buy once and use for years is now a subscription-only service. This is of course what Cory Doctorow has aptly called ensh*tification, the process of snaring customers which high-value offerings that are degraded once the hook has been set. Now that the sunk costs of switching are painful, the corporation squeezes more cash out of the immiserated customer.

If ensh*tification doesn't work, Corporate America doubles down with outright coercion and deception. Mr. Softee (MSFT, Microsoft) is a master of the this process. For example, the unwary customer discovers everything they've been saving hasn't been saved to their own drive; it's been saved to Mr. Softee's OneDrive, and guess what, Honored Customer, your OneDrive is now full and you need to pony up monthly cash to expand your OneDrive capacity.

As for transferring all your saved data from OneDrive to the drive you own, fuhgeddaboudit-baby, no dice.

In a similar fashion, every digital action now launches a nag to "upgrade to Premium." Do you want to schedule a bulk email to be sent later? Now that requires upgrading to Premium. The virus scan found a gazillion trackers that could be threatening everything you hold dear, but now the standard antivirus software doesn't fix that problem, you're prompted to upgrade to Premium to protect your precious digital life.

When did Corporate America veer so close to bankruptcy that it must now squeeze a few more dollars out of every customer lest it dry up and blow away? Well garsh, poor Corporate America must be barely scraping by. But if we look at corporate profits, they're at record highs, far above where they'd be if they'd only tracked inflation.



The propaganda of "free markets" promised that corporations would seek higher profits by increasing the value of products and services and reducing prices. The opposite is what's actually true: corporations are maximizing profits by reducing the durability and value of products and services and relentlessly immiserating customers to herd us into paying more for what we once received at no extra charge.

Let's call this what it actually is: the garbage time of history, a travesty of a mockery of a sham of "value," a ruthless exploitation of trapped consumers, who are already being bled dry as either debt-serfs or tax donkeys, or if particularly unlucky, both debt-serfs and tax donkeys.

In this realm of extraction, exploitation, artifice and illusion, "growth" is garbage.



The Garbage Time of History Is Global (9/5/25)


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Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



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The Garbage Time of History Is Global

The key insight of "let it rot" and "the garbage time of history" is the inauthenticity of all "reforms."

The Chinese culture has a rich trove of apt, often humorous expressions that summarize a situation with imaginative metaphors. For example, let it rot (bai lan) summarizes the realization that the present era is the garbage time of history (lishi de laji shijian), and the appropriate response is to "actively embrace a deteriorating situation, rather than trying to turn it around."

The garbage time of history was "coined by essayist Hu Wenhui, that describes a period of prolonged societal decline or stagnation where a nation's system is no longer viable but hasn't collapsed, characterized by individuals being powerless and the future being set on a downward trajectory. The term is a metaphor for the final, inconsequential minutes of a sports game where the outcome is already decided, and any effort is futile."

The garbage time of history is not unique to China; the entire world is mired in the garbage time of history because we're all enmeshed in financial and globalized feedbacks and tightly bound subsystems that are the gearing of the world-system.

The gearing can't be changed, as that might disrupt those gorging at the money-trough, so cause-and-effect are limited to garbage in, garbage out: inputs are modified for show, spectacles are performed as a substitute for substance, and illusory solutions are batted around, as if the core problem is "money" rather than the gearing of the system.

The problems are far deeper than "money." A system geared for "growth at any cost" finds real advancement is limited, so a pretense of growth is favored: growth of "money," growth of gamed statistics, growth of waste, etc.

Since the gearing is fundamentally financial, everything else is for show. For example, "healthcare" in the U.S. is an extractive financial machine which operates behind a screen of providing medicine. Big Tech is an extractive financial machine operating behind a screen of search, social media and AI agents. Higher education is an extractive financial machine operating behind a screen of research, virtue-signaling and going through the motions of offering coursework and credentials.

The key insight of let it rot and the garbage time of history is the inauthenticity of all "reforms", as the "reforms" never change the gearing of the machine, they only modify the garbage being fed into the machine.

The score is Extractive Financial Machine, 103, Workers, Customers and Citizens, 17. There's four seconds left, so by all means launch the ball from 3-point land, and as spectacular as a bucket at the buzzer would be, it won't change the outcome of the garbage time of history.



The whole point of "reforms" is to leave the gearing unchanged behind a gaudy show of going through the motions of reforms that change nothing.


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

Subscribe to my Substack for free





NOTE: Contributions/subscriptions are acknowledged in the order received. Your name and email remain confidential and will not be given to any other individual, company or agency.

Thank you, Larry M. ($200), for your beyond-outrageously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

 

Thank you, Robert S. ($70), for your marvelously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.


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Wednesday, September 03, 2025

Entitled, Demanding--and Shunned

Since we didn't need relationships in a transactional system, we no longer have any.

To connect multiple threads into a coherent understanding, let's start with a real-life story. We're handy but some breakdowns require outside assistance. The fridge failed (GE brand, less than two years old) and it turned out to be difficult to find a repair tech. One had retired, others were swamped, one didn't return multiple calls, another had left the trade for another trade, and GE's own service only covers repairs under warranty (i.e. one year).

One of my wife's cousins had spoken highly of an experienced repair guy, and in leaving the gent a message my wife mentioned her cousin as the source of the recommendation. He had no business listing online; everything was word of mouth.

The gent eventually returned her call, asked for the model/make information, and agreed to swing by to diagnose the problem.

During their conversation the gent mentioned his 40+ years in the appliance / repair business, and that he only does work for people he knows. He no longer responds to strangers recommended by people he knows, as he's had bad experiences with newcomers and will have nothing to do with them. He only returned our call because we were family members of someone he knows.

His list of previous customers numbers in the hundreds, and these trustworthy, respectful people keep him as busy as he wants.

My shorthand for his bad experiences with strangers: they're entitled, demanding, discourteous, and find excuses not to pay him. His response is to shun those customers he doesn't already know, or in our case, family members of people he does know. (He knew two of my wife's cousins.)

Now let's connect a few more threads. Ours is an advocacy system. You want something, you have to advocate for it, often persistently, as "the squeaky wheel gets the grease." Customer service had degraded to the point where the system seeks to reduce costs by grinding down customers so they give up.

Advocacy merges easily into threats. After a trip in Asia, I knew I was on a US-flagged airline when a passenger who'd been accidentally jostled by another passenger snapped, "I'll sue you!" (This is one of those "only in America" things: "I'll sue you!")

The appliance tech mentioned that when a stranger outright refused to pay him and he said he would remove the part he'd just installed, the customer threatened to "call the police."

Threats are tactics, of course, to bulldoze your opponent, but they can also be the emotional response of those who grasp their powerlessness in the system.

Americans confuse rights, entitlements and advocacy. Our rights are rather limited, and are defined by an enormous body of legal rulings. Our entitlements--for example, to receive medical care under the Medicare or Medicaid programs--are often taken as rights, but they're not the same: we may be entitled to care but that isn't a guarantee we'll receive the care, as that depends on the local availability of enterprises who accept Medicare / Medicaid patients.

Providers can bail out of these programs, and those mandated to provide coverage (emergency rooms for example) can close down.

Entitlement leads to demands presented as advocacy which morphs into "it's my right." Well, actually, it's rarely our "right," beyond advocating our position via free speech, filing complaints with regulatory authorities or legal proceedings.

Now let's connect the final set of threads: the difference between transactions and relationships, systems that are based on transactions and systems that are based on relationships--not just immediate family and friends, but extended family ties and reciprocal-help relationships that are the core of community--a much used and abused term for what is largely a hollow slogan.

Ours is a transactional system: everything you need or want is for sale via a financial transaction. nobody needs a relationship to buy whatever they want; they just need money or credit. We approach a complete stranger who is employed by Corporate America or the government, and complete a financial transaction.

In a transactional system, we don't do anything for anyone unless we're paid. OK, help a stranger with a flat tire maybe, but develop reciprocal-aid ties with neighbors and others? We don't have time for those kinds of "investments" that "don't pay off."

Consider the difference between an appliance repair conducted as a transaction and one based on relationships. If the appliance is under warranty, the issuer of the warranty is obligated to arrange a repair by the contractual stipulations of the warranty. ("Some conditions apply," of course, meaning there may be exclusions, limits of liability, etc. Sorry about that, you should have read the fine print.)

The customer and the repair tech are strangers. The transaction is arranged by strangers in a corporate office. This transaction is lauded in the abstract as proof of the "trustworthiness" of the system.

A transactional system works marvelously until it breaks down. For example, the hospital closes due to financial losses, and so the ER is closed, too. We can demand our right to medical care but it's no longer available in our area. Or the warranty repair service is no longer available in our area, sorry.

The fragility of these transactional systems is hidden until they break down. And when they degrade and break down, then we're left with systems based on relationships--systems which have largely vanished in a highly mobile, rootless culture that's distilled everything down to "trustworthy" transactions.

If everyone is constantly moving, there is no way anyone can know members of your extended family because they're scattered thousands of miles apart.

In a transaction-based culture, relationships have little value, so they're depreciated. Why bother maintaining or forming relationships when you can get everything you want or need by staring at a screen?

Until all those hyper-optimized transactional systems start breaking down. Then the value of relationships is suddenly revalued--but few have any reciprocal-aid relationships with practical value. Networking is a superficial, shallow simulacrum of actual relationships, and that's all we have left.

Sure, I'll help you, but only if I personally know someone in your family. This is trust on a different level than the transactional trust of Corporate America or government agencies.

Transactions work great until hyper-optimized transactional systems cease to be hyper-profitable. Then we discover how fragile these systems are to disruption.

Since we didn't need relationships in a transactional system, we no longer have any. Demanding our rights and what we're entitled to isn't going to bring overly complex systems back; once they're gone, they're gone, and we'll be dependent on relationships, which are fundamentally reciprocal in nature.

In other words, you know--and helped--one of my family members, I'll help you. If you didn't, well I'm sorry, I'm busy.

Entitled, Demanding--and Shunned. That's the end-game of depending on transactions as a replacement for all the relationships that have gone by the wayside in a culture that reckons everything boils down to a series of bloodless transactions.

This is the transactional gearing we're caught up in...



...and it maps collapse rather closely.






Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

Subscribe to my Substack for free





NOTE: Contributions/subscriptions are acknowledged in the order received. Your name and email remain confidential and will not be given to any other individual, company or agency.

Thank you, Larry M. ($200), for your beyond-outrageously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

 

Thank you, Robert S. ($70), for your marvelously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.


Thank you, Wandering Minstreli ($7/month), for your superbly generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

 

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Monday, September 01, 2025

Labored Daze

In the labored daze of AI hype and GDP "growth," few seem to notice the workforce is tired of being exploited as an uncomplaining resource.

"Great Powers" claim their greatness on prestige technologies and military force, but how do they measure up if we change the metrics to how they treat their workforces. How great are they then? China and the U.S. claim the mantles of "Great Powers" but if we look at how well they treat their workforces, both rate poorly.

What matters in assessing the workforce isn't just wages; what matters is the entire quality of life. In this regard, childcare matters, because 1) without children, the "Great Power" has no future, and 2) the lives and budgets of workers with children revolve around the ease or difficulty of caring for their children. The "Great Power" state can either do a lot, do a little, or do nothing to help working parents.

Now that China's birthrate is plummeting, the state has launched a few modest initiatives to help parents with the high costs of raising children. If we consider the cost of childcare to per capita GDP, the cost of childcare and education in China is high. It's also absurdly burdensome in the U.S., which has also left childcare expenses up the parents and market forces, which unsurprisingly have pushed the costs of having a child and childcare to the stratosphere.

China's total fertility rate was 1.1 children per woman in 2024, far below the replacement level of 2.1 children needed to sustain a stable population. America's rate is around 1.6, also below replacement.

Compared to nations that pay for three years of childcare leave so at least one parent can care for the child at home to age 3, the "Great Powers" aren't even close to "great." Abysmal is a better description.

Let's consider another metric: how well do the "Great Powers" treat their small-scale farmers and the people who raise their food? Once again, both "Great Powers" rate poorly. While the financial media focuses breathless attention on AI and measures of consumption, few pundits bother looking at how well the "Great Powers" treat their small-scale farmers and ag workforce. Pensions for low-earning family farmers? Not "great" by any measure.

After all, who needs children or food when you have AI data centers and robots delivering ultra-processed snacks? In both self-proclaimed "Great Powers," the workforce is viewed as 1) a resource to be exploited (China's infamous "996," the grind of 9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week, and America's equally infamous "on call all weekend if the Boss texts you"), or 2) as consumers driving economic "growth" by purchasing more ultra-processed snacks and commoditized experiences.

If life is so great for the "Great Power" workforces, then where did laying flat, let it rot, the garbage time of history and the Five No's come from? The Five No's: no house, no car, no extraneous consumption, no marriage and no children.

Laying flat (tang ping): rejection of the hyper-competitive rat race and diminishing returns for punishing workloads, the desire for a simpler, more satisfying and enjoyable life; disillusionment with the fast-receding "China Dream / American Dream," and the realization that the promise that material abundance would make everyone blissfully happy is false, as manic consumerism doesn't generate fulfillment, meaning, purpose or happiness.

Let it rot (bai lan) summarizes the realization that the present era is the garbage time of history, and the appropriate response is to "actively embrace a deteriorating situation, rather than trying to turn it around."

The entire AI story boils down to reaping billions in profits by replacing the human workforce en masse, another manifestation of exploitation and disregard. The workforce's "job" is to generate and consume declining-quality products and services to generate "growth" and profits, a resource to be exploited that is more or less divided into debt-serfs (bottom 80%) and tax donkeys (top 10%), with the remaining 10% luxuriating in an illusory "middle class" featuring both debt and taxes.

In both "Great Powers," the billionaire and political classes are doing great, the workforce, not so much, as market forces have jacked up the cost of living and the gains of their labor are siphoned off and sluiced into state excess and capital gains, 90% of which are collected by the ownership / shareholder class.

This chart tells the story of the past 50 years: labor's share of the national income has declined, to the benefit of the top few. The garbage time of history, indeed.



In the labored daze of AI hype and GDP "growth," few seem to notice the workforce is tired of being exploited as an uncomplaining resource. Since outright revolt is quickly crushed by state force, the only option is opting out, via financial nihilism, laying flat, the five No's or let it rot, all expressions of the abandonment of false promises and diminishing returns on following orders.


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

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My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com.

Subscribe to my Substack for free





NOTE: Contributions/subscriptions are acknowledged in the order received. Your name and email remain confidential and will not be given to any other individual, company or agency.

Thank you, Larry M. ($200), for your beyond-outrageously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

 

Thank you, Robert S. ($70), for your marvelously generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.


Thank you, Wandering Minstreli ($7/month), for your superbly generous subscription to this site -- I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

 

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Friday, August 29, 2025

AI: The Good, the Bad and the...Woah

The most pressing need now is for AI tools to protect us from AI tools.

The good news about AI is there will be productive uses. The bad news is it will take 5 to 10 years to sort the wheat from the chaff. According to a recent study by Morgan Stanley, it takes 14 years to reap the productivity gains from a typical New Tech adoption cycle. Morgan Stanley: AI Adoption Rate To Outpace Past Tech Cycles, But Measurable Economic Impact May Not Arrive Until Late Decade.

Richard Bonugli and I discuss the good and the bad in AI in our new podcast/video.

The adoption process isn't as smooth as promoters claim: MIT report: 95% of generative AI pilots at companies are failing.

The other bad news is the malicious uses of AI are already in full bloom, so while we're waiting around for AI tools to find use cases that actually increase productivity (as opposed to doing BS Work that has little to no real value), we'll have to deal with an ever-expanding onslaught of malicious uses of AI tools.

The Era of AI-Generated Ransomware Has Arrived (WIRED.com)

AI Is Being Weaponized For Cybercrime In 'Unprecedented' Ways, Researchers Warn (Zero Hedge)

The dark side of AI is not just an institutional issue; AI impacts individuals and families in ways that are difficult to predict, discern or control:

The family of teenager who died by suicide alleges OpenAI's ChatGPT is to blame (NBC News)

It's instructive to compare AI adoption with the Internet's adoption process. The most striking difference is the Internet 1.0 (late 1990s to early 2000s) was visibly beneficial and lacked its current capacity for malicious activity. In the Internet 1.0, we weren't inundated with spam, phishing, etc.--the systems needed for these plagues didn't exist.

In AI, it's the malicious uses that are expanding while the truly productive uses are lagging.

The hype claims AI is already universally productive, but this is more hype than reality. The truly productive use cases are customized and specific to narrow fields. In terms of general uses, AI Slop is the primary output, degrading legitimate content and polluting future AI scraping/training with inaccuracies, as recent research has found that AI scrapers favor AI-generated content: so with AI Slop, it's garbage in, garbage out, stretching to infinity.

As the links below document, AI tools have inherent limits that impact their utility. The hype claims that scaling (adding more processors) will solve all these technical limits, but that isn't the case. The models are intrinsically limited, limits that can't be dissolved with a few coding tricks or more processing power.



So while we wait for truly productive specific applications of generative AI, we're at risk of being overwhelmed by the malicious uses which are already productive for the criminal class. The most pressing need now is for AI tools to protect us from AI tools.

Never mind the good and the bad--watch out for the Woah.



Of related interest:

MIT report: 95% of generative AI pilots at companies are failing

LLMs + Coding Agents = Security Nightmare

AI Is a Mass-Delusion Event

The potential of generative AI for personalized persuasion at scale

What If A.I. Doesn't Get Much Better Than This?

The Real Demon Inside ChatGPT

ChatGPT May Be Eroding Critical Thinking Skills, According to a New MIT Study

AI Industry Nervous About Small Detail: They're Not Making Any Real Money

Which jobs can be replaced with AI? Jobs that have already be degraded to the point of uselessness.

The Loneliness Epidemic Isn't About Phones, It's About Algorithms.

The Real Threat Isn't AI. It's That Our Jobs Were Never Worth Doing.

I've written 18 essays on AI this year: here are five:

AI: Over-Promise + Under-Perform = Disillusionment and Blowback

Maybe AI Isn't Going to Replace You at Work After All

Good News! AI Can Do More BS Work

Boiled Frogs: AI Slop, Phishing, Deep-Fakes and Spam, Spam, Spam

AI Is a Mirror in Which We See Our Own Reflection


Check out my new book Ultra-Processed Life and my updated Books and Films.

Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com

Subscribe to my Substack for free



My recent books:

Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases originated via links to Amazon products on this site.

Ultra-Processed Life
print $16, (Kindle $7.95, Hardcover $20 (129 pages, 2025) audiobook     Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $16, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $15, (Kindle $6.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $15 print, $6.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $6.95, print $16, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $6.95, print $15, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $3.95, print $12, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $3.95 Kindle, $12 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free



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