Thursday, May 14, 2009

One Last Serving of Food for Thought

Readers responded to yesterday's examination of the causes of obesity with some interesting resources and ideas.

The obesity epidemic can be viewed visually via this slideshow map of the U.S.:

Centers for Disease Control, U.S. Obesity Trends 1985-2007

It is sobering indeed. Only 20 years ago a scant 8 states had obesity rates of 15% or more. As of 2007, only 1 state had obesity rates under 20%, and 30 states had rates of 25% or more. That is a dramatic demographic change in only one generation--certainly unprecedented.

I am leaving up the global BMI chart for context.

Readers offered up some very interesting resources and persepctives:

Tom Delane

The answer to your question "what causes obesity?" is quite simple. Vegetable oils! The human body is not able to digest this gunk and stores it as a fat that never goes away... Vegetable oil equals Transfats... Transfats are deadly to the human body... Margarines are incredibly dangerous.

Read Dr. Mary Enig's books on the chemistry of fats and lipids. Lowering Cholesterol is a scam propagated by the Drug companies. I am a Electronic engineer with a minor in Pathology (retired).

CHS note: Here are a few of Dr. Enig's works. If you don't want to own a copy, check your local library:

Eat Fat, Lose Fat: The Healthy Alternative to Trans Fats

Know Your Fats : The Complete Primer for Understanding the Nutrition of Fats, Oils and Cholesterol

Nourishing Traditions - Cookbook That Challenges Politically Correct Nutrition & The Diet Dictocrats (Mary Enig and Sally Fallon)
This book appears to be out of print.

Eat Fat, Lose Fat: Lose Weight and Feel Great with Three Delicious, Science-Based Coconut Diets (Sally fallon)

Change subject slightly: (Although Cholesterol is related to obesity)

Lower Cholesterol increases the risk of Cancer. Cholesterol is fuel for the brain and immune system plus cell replacement.. WHO gathered stats that shows world Cholesterol average is 240. If your Cholesterol drops below this figure, then your body immune system is fighting something. Probably Cancer... Women over 60 should have a cholesterol of 260 or higher. Lower there is a very high chance for breast cancer. Female cholesterol is different from male.

There are tons of studies and books that show that artificially lowering Cholesterol is extremely dangerous. The side effects are horrible like a possible blanking of the brain's memories, liver damage, and permanently damaging leg muscles. But, due to the political correctness of the Drug companies it is very dangerous to go against the establishment.... The doctors get large kick backs for prescribing STATIN drugs. I tell my doctor that the side effects are much too dangerous and I will take my chances with CHD. Non smokers like me are (never smoked) are at a low risk anyway.

Throw out all veggie oils. The worst is Canola. This oil is a GM oil and is reverting back to the poisonous rape oil from which it is made...

Cooking oils: The best is coconut oil. You wouldn't believe how much better your life is after using this oil for 6 months. Plus, coconut oil is very good on the skin. I shaved my head so I could use the oil on the scalp (hair is a pain in the butt anyway). I did it in 'Nam to pick off the suckers.

Olive, peanut, real lard (not the artificial junk in the supers) real lard requires refrigeration. My appetite is self regulating with coconut oil diet.

The best way to start the day; eggs and bacon fried in coconut oil especially on a high stress day.

I am a bit overweight (40 lbs) but I like it that way because I remember how horrible starvation is.

Like it or not we humans are carnivores! Natural fats fuel our bodies (most efficient fuel for little weak creatures like us that depend on running for survival). A Vegetarian diet is Ma Nature's way of getting rid of idiots (natural selection). Remember: A DIET LOW IN NATURAL FATS WILL KILL YOU!



Natalie M.

Please read Dr. John McDougall's work on drmcdougall.com.

Eat a starch-based, no-fat, vegan diet like the really poor in the Third World and you'll never be fat again, even if you never move a muscle. Well, if you do no more than go for a walk every now and then.

CHS note: Here are a few of Dr. McDougall's works. If you don't want to own a copy, check your local library:

Dr. McDougall's Digestive Tune-Up

The Mcdougall Quick and Easy Cookbook: Over 300 Delicious Low-Fat Recipes You Can Prepare in Fifteen Minutes or Less

The Mcdougall Program: 12 Days to Dynamic Health

The Mcdougall Program for Maximum Weight Loss



Jeff F.

I just read your "More Food for Thought" post, and you danced around something entirely central to my exercise regime. I have to be /doing/ something. Treadmills are not "doing" something, they're putting a lot of effort into doing nothing. Lifting weights falls into the same catagory. Movement purely for the sake of having moved my body is mind numbing--in exactly the way you describe. I cannot do it. Or rather, I can do it once. But I won't do it again for another year.

Sports, all sports, are games. They require technique, strength, endurance, strategy and you can know how good you are. You can get better, and you know how much better, whether it is qualitative or quantitative.

Walking, running, cycling and other human powered forms of transportation require strength, endurance and navigation skills. They move you from A to B. You do something, even if you don't care about point "B", you've still done it for the journey. I can ride my bike for 100 miles happily, but I could never sit on an exercise bike for the same amount of time.

And so on for martial arts, dancing and even ditch digging. You aren't just working your body, you are doing something.

In light of this, I would not dismiss all gyms. I just got back from a gym, however, it is not a normal Mc24Hr Fitness type gym. It's a rock gym. Now, I was just sitting in the sauna this morning, but I was climbing with my wife last night.

A rock gym has something you do, and it's social. I don't try to ignore everyone, in fact that's a bad thing--I might get a rappeler dropped on my head. Also, it's not uncommon to watch other climbers try routes and talk to them or their partners about the route, particularly when you are trying to figure out the route. So it is a community as well.

I would bet the key is having a central "doing something" activity that the gym is built around. The only gyms I know of that fit this model are rock gyms, but it might be possible to formulate other types of "magnet" gyms.

Anyway, thank you for the food for thought (which I accompanied with some real pastured eggs from my CSA and a side of natural bacon).



C.C.

I enjoy your writing on fitness. I walk 10 miles a week, 2 a day 5 days. I also go on pretty big hikes up my local mountains. Ten miles and 1000 meters vertical is typical. I lift weights, have been for 5 years now. I squat and deadlift my weight 160lbs and I will never stop. Being strong is fun. It's needed too as I am 63 and like to take my dirt bike up the mountain. There are few things more physical and as crashes are routine a resilient body is required.

My weights are directed at joints, tendons and connective tissue. They are all unusually strong. I do 4 kinds of wrist exercise to stress them in all directions. Muscle is almost a by product.



Thank you, readers, for these recommendations of books and web resources.

Here are a few other books and films of interest on the subject:

The End of Overeating: Taking Control of the Insatiable American Appetite.)

The Omnivore's Dilemma: A Natural History of Four Meals

Rats in the Grain: The Dirty Tricks and Trials of Archer Daniels Midland, the Supermarket to the World

The Informant: A True Story

Fast Food Nation (film)

Super Size Me (film)

 


In Readers Journal: Thought-provoking New essay by Zeus Y. 

Tortured Democracy (Zeus Y.) 

"Good faith" may have limited application in contract law, but it has no place in constitutional law. If you flout the highest law of the land, especially if you are a top-level decision-maker, you should be brought to justice. If you provably condoned, approved, and justified torture against established national and international law, you should be prosecuted.
Thank you, Roger H. ($25), for your most welcome and very generous contribution to this site. I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

Read more...

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

More Food for Thought: What's Behind the Obesity Epidemic?

May 13, 2009 

Perhaps our search for the causes of obesity has been channeled into a narrow medical mindset; perhaps the answers are locked in a more elusive integrated understanding.

The obesity epidemic rings all sorts of cultural bells, but our focus should be understanding the causes. The "lifestyle" killers are all well-known: smoking, alcohol abuse, poor fitness and diet, stress and obesity.

In our usual reductionist "scientific" mindset, we have sought a single mechanism or cause for the rapid and truly unprecedented rise in obesity in the U.S. and Mexico: the actions of leptin and ghrelin, for instance, or a diet consisting largely of fast-food. Various restrictive diets are researched in double-blind studies, usually with inconclusive results.

Perhaps this single-minded search for a single "medical" explanation is doomed to fail because the actual cause is a complex, integrated chain of factors which include but are not limited to diet and exercise.

Before I weigh in, let's turn to a fascinating personal account from correspondent A.R.:

I wanted to share with you (and your readers, if you think my message worthwhile) my experience with food and weight.

The long and short of it is that I used to exercise very vigorously (200 miles per week of bicycling year-round) and yet struggled with weight, food cravings, binges on carbs and sweets. I was an unhappy, very fidgety person who couldn't sit still or concentrate, even though I was a vegetarian, who developed lactose intolerance, so I cut out dairy products a few years before:

A decade ago we moved to a farm and began growing our own organic vegetables on a grand scale. We supplement our home-grown with store-bought organic rice and other grains, olive oil, spices and a few condiments (avoiding HFCS and anything with potential GMO, such as soy). I cut out almost all sugar. (My spouse still eats sweets and I occasionally eat one of his home-baked cookies.) We have our own chickens, so I eat eggs and chicken sparingly as a condiment.

Due to time constraints I stopped cycling and get little exercise beyond gardening and farm maintenance. My BMI is a steady 19, cholesterol well under 200. I have no food cravings at all and eat only when hungry. I still think about food a lot, but only because I am planning and managing my garden and meal preparation. I am no longer fidgety, and can concentrate, even when reading technical blogs about economics!

Thank you, A.R., for this report. A.R.'s experience suggests that diet is perhaps even more critical than exercise in maintaining a healthy mind/body (recalling the ancient Asian wisdom that the mind and body are one.)

Her report also suggests that total caloric intake is less important than the kinds of food one is eating or not eating; it also draws a distinct line between a "normal" American diet, even a vegetarian one, and the presence of cravings/binges and a fidgety lack of concentration--the very traits reported nowadays as ADD (attention deficit disorder) or similar "clinically approved" syndromes.

Next up: Dr. M.H. who shared these comments based on his own medical experience:

I am a physician who has practiced medicine through the emergence of the obesity plague. Years ago a possible source was put forward in the (obscure) Journal of Medical Hypotheses. It is well understood that insulin (secreted by our body or injected) makes fat. (Hence, in managing diabetes one goal of treatment is to normalize blood glucose with a minimum of insulin.)

Heavy, rapidly ingested meals lead to excess net insulin secretion and may be important in the accumulation of fat deposits. The way we are habituated to eat (especially by economic forces in a position to dominate culture rather than serve as a constituent and servant of it) may be fundamental to the virtual pandemic of obesity.

This research cited by Dr. M.H. suggested that wolfing down heavy (carbo, fat and protein-rich, i.e. typical fast-food) meals is a key behavioral element in obesity-- that is, that insulin disorder wasn't simply a matter of caloric intake exceeding caloric expenditure.

This set me thinking, as there have been a number of times in my own life when I ate meals quickly--usually in the midst of heavy manual labor. So I wondered if strenuous exercise shortly after the meal wouldn't offset the negative effects of rapid ingestion. I replied thusly:

As a layperson interested in these topics, I do wonder if someone eating a bowl of bok choi or Swiss chard and brown rice could gain as much weight as someone eating at MickeyDs. Thus I wonder if the glycemic content and caloric density of the food being wolfed down has a major impact on weight gain.

I picked pineapple as a 15-year old in the fields of Lanai, Hawaii, and it was very physically demanding work. I think we all ate rather quickly because we were hungry (and thirsty). Needless to say their were no fat workers.... So I suspect there may well be some mechanism triggered by the resumption of hard labor which modifies the insulin?

Dr. M.H. offered this thought-provoking response:

The obesity plague is both a distinct medical phenomenon and a symptom of the times. These things are almost always the expression of a multitude of forces. In the case of some obesity there is good evidence for an infectious source (antibody evidence in American women of past exposure to a subtype of adenovirus). Video displays have been associated with trance-like changes in neural activity which likely have links to appetite, metabolic regulation and mood.

The atomistic, deadened social setting most Americans must endure and adapt to clearly influences cognition, mood and impulse. Dead linguistic forms, lack of authentic evolved cultural forms (folk culture), the dying off of great art, the lack of living aesthetic contact with the forms, colors, textures of the natural world all, I believe, play a role in this public health catastrophe.

I have worked in the Third World (western Honduras) and with mostly impoverished people in the US. The majority of my current practice is psychiatry and addictions. For reasons that are hard to briefly articulate, reflection on my experience has convinced me that there is only one world; that culture, including language, music, painting etc. are part of the fabric of evolutionary forces which generate states of consciousness, for better and for worse.

I suspect you have read the Oil Drum--Nate Hagens' contributions accurately distill much of what is known of the neurophysiology of our current dilemma. But the brain tunings he describes are imbedded in the body in toto, and the insulin overshoot I mentioned is probably only one element in a fabric of forces, endocrine and otherwise. So, I suspect insulin, overfast overeating and obesity are causally linked as I described but, like everything real, it is complicated and always in a living context. I've written this ( to my own surprise) in the midst of a roaringly busy morning of seeing patients. I hope it is of some use.

Thank you, Dr. M.H. for sharing your experience and knowledge. What immediately struck me about the Doctor's conclusion was its integration of factors most research on obesity ignores as unworthy of study or dismisses as impossible to study: the world we inhabit in toto, not just as consumers of calories.

Furthering this train of thought, correspondent/blogger Nina at the wonderful Deep Into Art Life West sent me the link to Charles Eisenstein's monumentally provocative essay: Reuniting the Self: Autoimmunity, Obesity, and the Ecology of Health (Part 2)

While this essay may seem overly long to our sugar-stomped ADD culture of sound bites and factoid propaganda, these excerpts will give you the flavor of what awaits a full read:

All the individual is aware of is a hunger, a need for something more. The fact that obese people often eat when they are not physically hungry offers a clue to what is going on. Indeed, they are hungry -- they just aren't hungry for food. They are hungry for connection.

Food is the most tangible, direct confirmation of our connection to a living universe that loves us. On a primal biological level, the act of eating tells us, "I exist" and "I am loved." Indeed, food is the most basic expression of love, a token of intimacy, of bringing an outsider into the realm of self. That is why it is customary in most countries to offer food to a guest, and why it is rude to refuse it. To feed another is, in this sense, an intimate act, an opening of the sacred boundaries of self.

When, as today, this intimate act has become a subject of commerce, and food a commodity, the entire food system reeks of obscenity.

This nails something causally profound which ontologically slips through the fingers of all "research" into the obesity epidemic. More on that later; here's another taste:

Obesity is usually taken as a symptom of excess, but in fact the reverse is true. Obesity, and the other enlargements I have mentioned, are actually symptoms of the most profound destitution ever to visit the human race. The bloated lifestyles of the American rich harbor an inner poverty exactly equal to the Third World poverty that enables those lifestyles. Half the world cannot get enough to eat, and the other half cannot get enough no matter how much they eat. It is a complete tapestry, perfect and horrifying.

Consigned by modern civilization to a tiny, isolated self, we suffer from a powerful unmet need for love and connection. To meet this need is more important than life itself. People will do almost anything to meet it. It is time to release our condemnation of the people with bloated bodies, or bloated bank accounts, houses, egos, or other enlargements of the separate self. They are merely trying to meet their most beautiful needs. They are trying to connect and find love, in whatever tiny way is available at the end of the Age of the Machine.

Here is Part 1 of the series:

Reuniting the Self: Autoimmunity, Obesity, and the Ecology of Health

And another essay by Eisenstein:

Wood, Metal, and the Story of the World.

If you've forgiven me for using the word "ontological" (y'know, like inherent or "an a priori category of being", but it sounds better) then perhaps you'll let me unleash derealization.

While this Wikipedia entry defines derealization as a clinical term for a feeling of unreality, I am using it to describe the disconnect between what we experience and what the propaganda/marketing complex we live in tells us we should be experiencing.

How does this relate to obesity? Like this: I contend that all the garbage being passed off/marketed as "food" by the packaged food and fast-food industries is more accurately a simulacrum of nutrition wrapped around carefully engineered doses of powerful exciters of the deepest reward centers in our brains: fat, sugar and salt. In essence, the "food" being hyped and pitched 24/7 is the edible equivalent of crack cocaine.

Let me describe how food has been derealized by a supremely profitable industry: try to eat a package of cold french fries. I don't mean luke-warm, I mean hours old cold french fries. Needless to say, the appeal of the "chips" is now limited.

Our actual experience of eating the fast food delight is masked by what we expect to experience. The happy-happy adverts and the physical setting of the fast-food outlet (hard bright lighting, hard bright plastic, etc.) set up the expectation that we're not only going to enjoy the mouth-feel experience of chomping that hot greasy bundle of fries but that we're supposed to feel the warm happy sensation of sated appetite after the meal has been gobbled.

But what if instead of that happy feeling we actually experience a sense of nausea? Yikes, that would be most unprofitable. So the entire worldview behind the marketing (including the government's collusion at many levels) is designed toderealize the actual experience of eating junk food.

Were it possible to break free of this carefully marketed mindset, you might find virtually all the foods you're supposed to crave are actually revolting.

I say this as someone who will eat ice cream or pizza or a fast-food hamburger a few times a year and enjoy it. But I am aware that it is not in my best interests to eat such "food" more than occasionally, and I am alive to the weird drugged-out sensations such meals cause.

Here's an ad for facsimile-food which I "re-realized" for you:

Acknowledging that I'm a monomaniacal manic/depressive who needs exercise to maintain my thin grip on mental health, I also think exercise has been derealized into a bizarre either/or world of extreme sports or TV-induced sloth/torpor. Extreme risk and extreme conditioning are glorified (again, for the purposes of selling you something, be it a "sports drink" of sugar water and cheap vitamins or a costly bicycle, etc.) while a more normal pattern of enjoyable exercise has been positioned as "too difficult," onerous, burdensome, etc.

Meanwhile, if you can escape this derealization, you will find that exercise, yes, even occasionally strenuous exercise, releases all sort of endorphins and mood enhancers--and not just extreme/insane conditioning (which is often if not always destructive to overall health) but movement as simple as walking a few blocks here and there for 20 minutes.

The experience of walking, running, martial arts, digging, hunting, etc. has been derealized into a marketable "product," i.e. a gym which requires membership and familarity with all sorts of costly machines. From what I gather from outside, the experience is completely derealizing: one mounts some contraption, puts on one's "my stuff, my world" iPod and then watches CNN or some other mindless loop of bogus "news" while maintaining a heart rate of X (as demanded by one's personal trainer as the "optimum" key metric of the whole experience. Never mind how you feel; keep it at 99, pal, or you "failed.")

Personally, I'd rather dig a ditch (yes, I've dug plenty of ditches, so I know exactly what's involved) than sit on some contraption lost in a cocoon of sensory override. I'd rather take a walk or get on my bike or do anything in the real world than go to a room of machines occupied by people ignoring each other. I know many of you feel the gym is a key element in your fitness program, and I understand it's practical; but I don't "get it" and would rather do katas or play around with my bamboo staff.

If this is what's pitched as required for "fitness" (and exactly what metric do we use to define that?), no wonder most people prefer lounging on the sofa watching cooking shows.

It seems to me a key cause of obesity, attention deficit disorder and a dull lethargy devoid of the fun and zest of exercise/physical motion is that our experience has been derealized in order to sell us some product or service.

Here are a few recent books and films of interest on the subject:

The End of Overeating: Taking Control of the Insatiable American Appetite.)

The Omnivore's Dilemma: A Natural History of Four Meals

Rats in the Grain: The Dirty Tricks and Trials of Archer Daniels Midland, the Supermarket to the World

The Informant: A True Story

Fast Food Nation (film)

Super Size Me (film) 


In Readers Journal: Thought-provoking New essay by Zeus Y. 

Tortured Democracy (Zeus Y.) 

"Good faith" may have limited application in contract law, but it has no place in constitutional law. If you flout the highest law of the land, especially if you are a top-level decision-maker, you should be brought to justice. If you provably condoned, approved, and justified torture against established national and international law, you should be prosecuted.

And a darned clever new poem by Mike Dakota:

IF ROMEO AND JULIET

I bet if Romeo and Juliet
had a phone they would have text'd
and their early demise not met
or let
two families suffer regret
full of tears salty and wet
and William's plot made thinner yet.


Our previous list of hot reading (check them out at your local library if you don't want to own a copy) can be found at Books and Films

Thank you, Rodney M. ($10), for your much-appreciated generous contribution to this site. I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

Read more...

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

The Big Con

May 12, 2009 


The level of propaganda spewing out of the U.S. government and the financial press/mass media is unprecedented in my lifetime (55 years). Public support for policies based on distorted statistics will crash once reality intrudes.

The U.S. government and its financial Plutocracy Overlords have undertaken an unprecedented propaganda campaign to convince the U.S. public that their looting of public treasure has "worked" and we can all start borrowing and spending again.

Having been cursed by a completely useless interest in politics since the age of 10 (the 1964 presidential election campaign) I can state without hesitation that the grand deceptions, Big Lies and blatant propaganda campaigns of the past pale in comparison to the current orchestration of phony statistics and "it's all fixed now, start spending."

What's breath-taking is they seem to be close to getting away with it.Here's the plan, brilliant, desperate, or simply "we have no other option": rather than actually make the fundamental reforms to our corrupt and venal financial system which democracy and capitalism both demand, our government and its Plutocratic handlers (money-center and investment banks--you know, the retired CEOs who sit on the NY Fed board) are gambling on The Big Con.

The Big Con is simple: if they can convince the American public that "green shoots" will soon grow into mighty oaks, then the public will save the financial system from its richly deserved impoverishment by starting to borrow and spend again on the same old grandiose scale we've grown accustomed to as "normal."

Even if it's all lies, deceptions, fraud and statistical trickery, if the public believes The Big Con then the financial sector will be "saved" from the pain of actual reform.

Want to know why the bank stocks all skyrocketed in the last month? No, it's not because they "made a healthy profit." That was a stupendously blatant lie, as noted here last week:

Over the last week a number of banks have reported first quarter earnings, which was a pleasant surprise. Citigroup said it made $1.6 billion. One of the ways Citigroup achieved this gain was booking a profit of $2.7 billion on the decline in Citi's own debt. Say what? Under accounting rules, Citi was allowed to book a one-time gain equivalent to the decline in its bonds because, in theory, it could buy back its debt cheaply and save $2.7 billion over time. Of course, Citi didn't actually do that. Even though more consumer loans went bad in the first quarter, Citi reduced its loan loss reserve from $3.4 billion in the fourth quarter to $2.1 billion in the first quarter, thereby picking up another $1.3 billion of 'earnings'. And the recent change in mark to market accounting enabled Citi to book an additional $413 million in 'profit' on impaired assets. Without these one-time adjustments, Citi's $1.6 billion in first quarter profit becomes a $2.8 billion loss. (CHS--emphasis added)

No, the real reason is that the Fed and Treasury--on the hook for trillions of dollars in bailouts and guarantees of speculative debt--and the insolvent banks needed very desperately to raise new capital. The faint mewling of public outrage over the trillions already squandered could be heard in the distance, so the Fed and Treasury felt slightly constrained in what they could engineer in the light of day.

The "solution" was to declare the banks "solvent", goose their stocks and then sell new stock to credulous private investors. When the Bank of America's stock was $3, raising capital by selling shares would have seriously diluted insiders' holdings; much better to goose the stock with Fed and Treasury connivance and then sell the rubes and fools more stock at $12--literally four times the probable "real value" of the shares.

I picked up this compelling thesis from the excellent blog THE HOUSING TIME BOMB. The mechanism is simple: the trading desks of the big banks account for up to half of all trading each and every day--rumor has it Goldman Sachs' desk accounted for fully 25% of all trading activity on its own.

How do you goose your own stock? Easy. Buy huge blocks above the bid and trigger institutional and hedge fund "buy" programs. Once you detect short selling, squeeze the shorts with relentless buying, forcing them to cover, which effectively boosts the stock by leaps and bounds.

All of this was laid out decades ago by legendary trader Jesse Livermore inReminiscences of a Stock Operator and nothing has changed since except the level of deception and obfuscation has grown.

Now that the big banks have sold millions of shares at artificially pumped-up prices, then they can start dumping their own shares to other rubes on the open market.

Lyndon Johnson kicked off the peacetime exploitation of propaganda, deception and misrepresentation in 1964 with his public proclamations that "Asian wars are for Asian boys" even as he prepared to authorize sending combat troops to Vietnam.

As noted here yesterday, The Big Con then was that the Vietnam War was not only winnable but we were winning it, no problem, light at the end of the tunnel, etc. The Tet Offensive broke the back of that particular con and the American public began to lose trust in its government.

The Nixon administration--the first "imperial" or "unitary" presidency--continued the deceit about the war and then added fiscal deception to the mix, launching various "innovations" which remain in place today such as "core inflation" and tossing the Social Security Trust Fund into the government's budget so the Social Security surplus would (deceptively) offset rising deficits.

The following administrations continued refining the legerdemain and accounting tricks with the result that very little of the key data issued by the government is trustworthy. Need to foster the illusion that jobs are being created in the hundreds of thousands? Just create them out of thin air via the "birth-death model". For more on this subject, please visit Shadow Government Statistics.

Speaking of shadows: not only do we have a shadow government (black ops, the Fed, etc.) but we also have a shadow financial sector, the "shadow banking system" in which assets and liabilities are held off balance sheet and priced according to whim, myth, need or hmm, greed.

For more on this, please read:

Confessions of an Economic Hit Man

Fiasco: The Inside Story of a Wall Street Trader

Greed, Fraud & Ignorance: A Subprime Insider's Look at the Mortgage Collapse

Many commentators view the current financial meltdown as a "surprise" outlier, a "Black Swan" event. They are wrong. The "crisis" was easily foreseen and predicted as inevitable by many, myself included. The real "Black Swan" has yet to swoop in.

What all those perpetrating the financial fraud--both in private banks and their government enablers--fail to recognize is that they have not eliminated risk from the system, they have only cloaked it temporarily. For more on why this is so, please read The Misbehavior of Markets .

What no one anticipates at this point in the bogus "recovery" is a full-blown crash: a crash in equities, bonds and perhaps public confidence. I try to read a variety of analyses and the consensus has puddled into two camps: we are out of the woods and the economy will start growing later this year, or the stock market has one more leg higher, then it will take a breather and start climbing robustly in summer and fall as the "reality" (barf) of the "recovery" becomes evident.

Few if any commentators (to my knowledge) expect a near-term crash of this nascent faith in complete "recovery" and that in itself suggests it is more likely than the rosier scenarios gaining near-total mindshare. For if we can say one thing about markets, it is that they rarely move in the direction of overwhelming consensus.

I will close with this prescient comment by frequent contributor Harun I.:

The con only works because people want to believe.

They want to believe that government can keep them in a home they cannot afford. They want to believe that that taxpayers should subsidize the purchase of homes they cannot afford ($8000 tax credit). They want to believe that government can provide whatever service they want regardless the cost and have low productivity and low taxes. They want to believe that their stocks, 401K's, mutual fund and bond portfolios buying power is not decimated. They want to believe that the USD hegemony can and will continue regardless of our economic decline into stupendous debt can never be repaid. They want to believe that the rest of the world will except this arrangement indefinitely.

At some point reality is going to impose.


In Readers Journal: Thought-provoking New essay by Zeus Y. 

Tortured Democracy (Zeus Y.) 
"Good faith" may have limited application in contract law, but it has no place in constitutional law. If you flout the highest law of the land, especially if you are a top-level decision-maker, you should be brought to justice. If you provably condoned, approved, and justified torture against established national and international law, you should be prosecuted.


And a darned clever new poem by Mike Dakota:

IF ROMEO AND JULIET

I bet if Romeo and Juliet
had a phone they would have text'd
and their early demise not met
or let
two families suffer regret
full of tears salty and wet
and William's plot made thinner yet.


Our previous list of hot reading (check them out at your local library if you don't want to own a copy) can be found at Books and Films

Thank you, Umakant G. ($20), for your very generous contribution to this site. I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

Read more...

Monday, May 11, 2009

Vietnam and Now: Lying and Deception "For the Good of the Country"

May 11, 2009 

The lies, deceptions, misrepresentations and statistical legerdemain of the present financial meltdown remind me of the Vietnam era when the same sort of endless propaganda and deception was foisted on the American public "for the good of the nation."

The Vietnam War launched a great number of rich metaphors and ironies.We had to destroy the village in order to save it, etc. But beneath this tortured history lies a key point:

The entire justification for the war and its prosecution were constructed on conscious deceptions chosen by our elected and unelected leaders "for our own good." I think the process worked thusly: fearful the American public was tiring of the burdens of a global Cold War with global domination at stake, the U.S. Powers That Be did not trust democracy or the U.S. public to "make the right decision" which would serve "the best interests of the nation."

So they deceived and manipulated the public in order to gain their acquiescence and compliance. Unlike the current financial mess, where appointed officials from Goldman Sachs et al. are directly and personally benefitting financially from the actions of the government to bail out the Wall Street money-center speculators/bankers, most of those leading the Vietnam War propaganda machine did not benefit directly from the war's prosecution.

Yes, Lyndon Johnson's pals at Brown & Root made millions building bases in Southeast Asia for the Pentagon, and no doubt some of those funds flowed back to Johnson's campaign coffers. But anyone claiming Johnson and his crew of good ole boys and the remaining "best and the brightest" from the Kennedy administration staged the war for personal profit is missing the point.

The political calculation was not for profit but for geopolitical and domestic-political purposes. The brainiacs in State and the Pentagon feared that all of Southeast Asia would topple if the corrupt, venal, precarious South Vietnamese regime folded, but they also divined that the American public would never support a large-scale war in a distant locale that had little to offer in the way of American self-interest.

In other words, the U.S. public rightly concluded that America's stake in Vietnam was simply too small to warrant a stupendous gamble of U.S. treasure and lives. The Korean War had never truly ended, but it had certainly cost over 50,000 American lives; as to whether it had been "worth it" geopolitically was debatable.

Rather than risk the loss of Southeast Asia to Communism, the U.S. Powers That Be subverted democracy for what they considered a higher good: geopolitical dominance in a game with no second place.

All the lies, deceptions, misrepresentations and statistical manipulations were laid out in the Pentagon Papers, and the furor those documents unleashed was not from bad policy revealed but from the conscious manipulation of U.S. public opinion and the subversion of democracy that manipulation represented. (This was called at the time a "credibility gap;" please read the brief Wikipedia link on a very complex and fascinating history.)

To allow the citizenry a say in whether the nation should go to war in a distant land for dubious geopolitical reasons was simply too risky to the Powers That Be, who valued their own judgment more than democracy and who required secrecy and lies to maintain their own freedom of action.

Those familar with the Vietnam era will recognize this propaganda "metric": body counts. In order to foist off the appearance of success and build hope in a quick conclusion to the war, the Pentagon established a false baseline of success: the body count. The dead "enemy" (Viet Cong wore no uniforms so any number of dead civilians were counted as enemy combatants) were toted up weekly and as long as the count was considerably higher than American KIA (killed in action), then the spinmeisters could declare "victory" was just ahead.

When the Viet Cong (indigenous South Vietnamese rebels) and the North Vietnamese regular army (NVA) launched a gigantic countrywide offensive in 1968, the illusion of victory-just-ahead was shredded and the U.S. public lost confidence in the official lies. Iroically, the U.S. and its South Vietnamese allies actually won the Tet Offensive hands down; it took the NVA four long years to prepare an assault on the same scale. (Please read Big Story: How the American Press and Television Reported and Interpreted the Crisis of Tet 1968 in Vietnam and Washington)

But the essential trust of the American people had been lost due to all the lies, deception and phony statistics, and so the war was truly lost not in the jungles but in the resistance and skepticism of the American people.

Recall that the supposed triggering event for the war, the Gulf of Tonkin "attack" by North Vietname ships and aircraft on a U.S. ship, was exploited for propaganda reasons into the justification for what became a full-blown war--a war fought without the Congressional declaration of war explicitly called for by the U.S. Constitution.

When I see Treasury Secretary Geithner justifying the stupendous bailouts of Wall Street and the squandering of taxpayer funds, I conclude he knows he's lying and deceiving the public--but he apparently thinks that is the only way to persuade the public to bail out Wall Street.

In other words, the U.S. public cannot be trusted with fixing the structural flaws in the U.S. economy and financial system (after all, the public might--gasp!--demand the destruction of the money-center and investment banks) so we have to manipulate them into going along with our plan to save Wall Street and the money-center banks.

Just like in Vietnam, the first step is to scare the bejabbers out of the public: the financial system was moments away from crashing, which would have impoverished every last one of you, not just now, but forever and ever.

There is also a domestic political motivation. President Johnson often obsessed over how his Democratic Party would suffer domestic defeat if he were perceived to have "lost Vietnam" to the Communists. (Never mind Vietnam was arbitrarily divided after World War Two.) Thus winning the war "in the hearts and minds" of the American public was Job One--the actual war could be lost, but it needed to be lost without appearing to be lost.

This is a process otherwise known as "peace with honor."

Now we find ourselves swamped by relentless waves of financial propaganda, spin, manipulation and bogus statistical "proof" (a.k.a. body count redux) that the "war" on the bad old recession has been "won."

What a domestic political catastrophe for the ascendant Democrats if they failed to "win the war on recession." Thus creating the perception that the war has been won is absolutely more important than actually dismantling the Wall Street/money-center banks cabal which created the precarious debt/derivative machine and profited most handsomely from it.

I predict we will get our financial Tet Offensive in 2010. That's when the propaganda that "the recession is over" will be revealed as a lie foisted on the public "for our own good." And just as in the Vietnam Era, the American public will lose whatever trust and confidence they once had in their government and its leaders, elected and appointed.

The "recession" will be revealed as a Depression once the stimulus "cure" runs its course and the Bear market rally crashes to Earth starting in October 2009. Then as 2010 grinds on, the process I have termed "when belief in the system fades" will reach ever more citizens, and a Vietnam-era-like outrage that "we've been lied to" will take hold.

Another round of "this is the bottom in real estate" and more borrow-and-spend stimulus will be fired up in 2011, and that too will fail for the fundamental reason that inflating debt cannot cure over-indebtedness and financial trickery cannot fix financial fraud.

Come 2012 then the American public will finally get an unvarnished look at the world currently masked by governmental lies, deception and propaganda. It won't be the fantasyland being promised now ("return to 2006 bubble economy") but a full-blown Depression.

It's called cause and effect, and bogus statistical lies like "the birth-death model of job creation" and under-reported unemployment cannot mask reality forever. 


In Readers Journal: Thought-provoking New essay by Zeus Y. 

Tortured Democracy (Zeus Y.) 

"Good faith" may have limited application in contract law, but it has no place in constitutional law. If you flout the highest law of the land, especially if you are a top-level decision-maker, you should be brought to justice. If you provably condoned, approved, and justified torture against established national and international law, you should be prosecuted.


And a darned clever new poem by Mike Dakota:

IF ROMEO AND JULIET

I bet if Romeo and Juliet
had a phone they would have text'd
and their early demise not met
or let
two families suffer regret
full of tears salty and wet
and William's plot made thinner yet.


Our previous list of hot reading (check them out at your local library if you don't want to own a copy) can be found at Books and Films

Thank you, Will S. ($20), for your most excellently generous contribution (from Oz) to this site. I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

Read more...

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Food For Thought

May 9, 2009 


The conflicting studies on diet, obesity and health tend to obscure obvious connections between exercise/activity, the food industry, education, obesity, health and rising health costs.

Frequent contributor Michael Goodfellow and I have been exchanging media stories on the causes of obesity for many months. In general, Michael is of the view that what's changed is not so much the American diet (never all that great) but the decline in activity over the past 100 years as people moved from heavy, hard farmwork to factories to cubicles.

While I would agree exercise/work/burning calories is certainly a macro-factor, I also find the evidence that packaged food is being engineered to trigger our reward-centers (yum, sugar, fat, salt, gimme more!) persuasive. It seems self-evident that larger portions also are a causal factor in the explosive rise of obesity in the U.S. (Please see The End of Overeating: Taking Control of the Insatiable American Appetite.)

Michael recently sent in these two links, and this tongue-in-cheek comment:

If eating quickly makes you fat (on average), but also richer (on average), which do you pick?
Fast Food, Fat Food:

Catherine Rampell at Economix posts this interesting chart showing the relationship between the "time the average person in a given country spends eating and that country’s obesity rate (as measured by the percentage of the national population with a body mass index higher than 30)."

Eat Quickly, for the Economy’s Sake (NY Times)

The point being that correlation is not necessarily causation. Meanwhile, self-evident factors in the nation's tremendous weight gain in just the past decade include:

1. Paucity of nutrition and cooking-real-food education in public education

2. Reduction/degradation in physical education as a "marginal" or "extra" subject (rather than one absolutely central to a healthy life)

3. Increasing portions in restaurants and fast food outlets

4. Time pressure on working parents (microwave packaged food rather than cook)

5. Explosive growth of computers, electronic games, etc. which offer children an alternative to active play

6. Staggering success of fast food marketing

7. Stupendous success of fat-laden, salty, sugar-bomb "snacks" and other packaged foods/beverages

Or this one, modified to be slightly more truthful:

8. The infernal growth of cooking shows on cable TV which lead not to more cooking but to more inactive TV-watching

and so on.

What seems to be missing in discussions of the causes of weight gain and obesity is an integrated approach. An "eat your vegetables" approach does not do justice to the multi-billion-dollar marketing campaigns behind fast food and packaged food/snacks/ empty-calorie "sports" drinks, empty-calorie juices, empty-calorie sodas, etc. nor do they consider the abysmal state of education on the nutrition/health/cooking matrix in the nation.

The Chinese expression is "disease comes through the mouth," meaning disease comes from what we eat. While this is obviously a simplification, that a poor diet leads to disease is irrefutable.

It seems self-evident to me that any discussion of healthcare costs must be integrated with a discussion on the causes of obesity, the unhealthy ingredients in most fast/packaged food and the poor state of knowledge of basic nutrition and food preparation.

If we can agree that adult life is a series of trade-offs, then perhaps we can move to an understanding that either we restrict the foods we eat when we have a choice, or our diet will eventually be restricted by chronic diseases.

Clearly, diet is only half the equation. Micro-managing one's diet while remaining inactive is still a recipe for poor health. The human body was selected for an omnivorous diet and a life of constant movement; to hope that we can deprive it of natural foods and exercise and somehow maintain health is fantasy.

I certainly don't have an answer to this complex situation, but a recognition that marketing of horrendously unhealthy fast foods, snack and packaged food (all that salt guarantees high blood pressure, you can be sure of that), poor nutritional/food prep education, gutted physical education programs and skyrocketing healthcare costs are indeed causally related would be a start.

We might also pursue research not on correlations but more directly causal links.Michael Goodfellow offered these possibilities for testable results:

It seems to me that the idea that fast eating causes overeating is testable. The theory behind it is that your body has some signaling mechanism to tell you when you have eaten enough. This can't simply be a full stomach. If it were, people would consume pastry in the same quantities as beef. We have to be evaluating the richness of the food somehow. There's a comparable idea for thirst -- you can't possibly be alleviating the thirst during the time you drink. So your body must have some way of estimating how much water you need, before the effects ever reach the bloodstream.

If there's a similar pathway for food, it could easily be fooled by a modern diet, which is much richer than what we would have eaten in the wild. If you consume over a long enough period, perhaps the body reacts properly to the rich diet (as if you were eating fat off a killed animal in the wild). But if you are consuming refined sugar quickly, the body can't evaluate the food quickly enough to raise the "you're full" flag before you've eaten too much.

Of course, this doesn't answer the question of why you wouldn't just go longer between meals if you had overeaten. But it still does strike me as completely testable in a lab. Just sit people down, force them to eat faster, and see if they average a higher calorie intake than the controls.

Another theory, that people are more stressed now, could also be tested. Give people uppers and see if they eat more.

Thank you, Michael.

Here are a few recent books and films of interest on the subject:

The Omnivore's Dilemma: A Natural History of Four Meals

Rats in the Grain: The Dirty Tricks and Trials of Archer Daniels Midland, the Supermarket to the World

The Informant: A True Story

Fast Food Nation (film)

Super Size Me (film)




In Readers Journal: Thought-provoking New essay by Zeus Y. 

Tortured Democracy (Zeus Y.) 

"Good faith" may have limited application in contract law, but it has no place in constitutional law. If you flout the highest law of the land, especially if you are a top-level decision-maker, you should be brought to justice. If you provably condoned, approved, and justified torture against established national and international law, you should be prosecuted.


And a darned clever new poem by Mike Dakota:

IF ROMEO AND JULIET

I bet if Romeo and Juliet
had a phone they would have text'd
and their early demise not met
or let
two families suffer regret
full of tears salty and wet
and William's plot made thinner yet.




Our previous list of hot reading (check them out at your local library if you don't want to own a copy) can be found at Books and Films


What's for dinner at your house? has been updated with a new recipe: Eggplant Parmesan . This a mouthwatering photo-illustrated PDF from longtime contributor Bill Murath.

Of Two Minds reader forum (hosted offsite, reader moderated) 

Thank you, Michael M. ($5), for your very generous contribution to this site. I am greatly honored by your support and readership.

Read more...

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