Wednesday, November 06, 2024

The Limits of Government

The limits of governmental power to solve the problems created by expanding governmental power are rising globally.

I composed this essay before the election, as the limits of government apply regardless of who takes the reins of leadership.

Elections are the opportunity to transfer the powers of government to a new set of leaders. As fascinating as this process may be, I'm more interested in the shadow cast by elections, the limits of government's powers. Elections focus our attention on the powers of government to change society, the economy, foreign policy and the cultural zeitgeist. The limits of government receive little attention, for obvious reasons: elections are the sizzle, and state power is the steak.

I know this sounds cynical, but much of what passes for government's power to transform society and the economy boils down to the power to print or borrow money on a truly immense scale. Yes, there are all kinds of legal powers: Congress can pass new statutes, the President can issue Executive Orders and the judiciary can change society with a new interpretation of the Constitution. But beyond changing the laws, the real power of government is to collect taxes, print money and borrow money.

Since paying taxes is painful, leaders prefer to print or borrow money, as the pain--the interest that must be paid in perpetuity--falls on future taxpayers, while the benefits of spending the new cash are felt immediately.

Printing and borrowing lots of money is the solution to all problems, until the Printing and borrowing become the problem. At that point, the government's power to solve problems by printing and borrowing lots of money vanishes, as the problems are now caused by printing and borrowing lots of money.

This is a limit of government's power that has been dodged for decades, but is now rumbling over the horizon. When the "solution" to every problem--throw money at it--becomes the problem, then what's the solution? Should the government stop printing and borrowing money in nearly limitless quantities, the pain felt by those no longer receiving the tax breaks, subsidies, entitlements, state contracts, paychecks, etc., quickly ramp up to somewhere between excruciating and unbearable.

Put another way, the government's power to maintain the purchasing power of its currency is not infinite. Printing and borrowing lots of money erodes the purchasing power of all that money if the real-world economy isn't generating equivalent increases in goods and services. We call this inflation, and history offers a variety of examples of this destruction of the purchasing power of money bringing down the state and nation.

If the government's ability to print and borrow vast sums to distribute is severely limited, what happens to its power? Its power is also severely limited, because changing regulations is not the same as passing around money. And without enough funding, all those legal requirements cannot be uniformly enforced.

So when the government orders everyone to wear their underwear on the outside of their clothing, where's the money to enforce this new statute going to come from?

Another limit emerges when the government's solution to every problem is to expand its reach and control. In my book Resistance, Revolution, Liberation, I describe this as the state's ontological imperative, a fancy way of saying that this innate drive to expand its powers is embedded in the very nature of the government, regardless of its form or ideology.

I addressed some of the problems created by this ceaseless expansion of state power in my essay Central Planning: China's Miracle--and Malaise.

Once again, the "solution"--expand the powers of the government--become the problem. And if the "solution" is to expand the powers of the government, then what happens when the solution is the devolution / reduction of state power? The idea of reducing the reach and power of the state doesn't compute to the leadership and functionaries, whose mindset is locked on increasing the powers of the government to solve every problem.

The centralization of state power and the expansion of state power is now the problem that government cannot possibly solve. Nobody in the governance structure ever thinks that shrinking government's reach, control, budget and power could possibly be the solution to the nation's most pressing challenges. Yet that reality is also rumbling over the horizon.

The limits of governmental power to solve the problems created by expanding governmental power are rising globally. Governments don't relinquish power voluntarily. If history is any guide, their power erodes as the forces they cannot control consume their power in an inverse power law: the more government tries to increase its power, the faster the entire system unravels.

Some readers insist that central planning / expansion of state power funded by debt works splendidly. Let's see how things play out globally over the next four years. 2029 may well be more interesting than anticipated.



To further the discussion of the opportunities and limits of state power, I'm making my 2018 book Pathfinding Our Destiny free (Kindle ebook) from November 7 to November 9. Yes, the book is now in the "free box" out on the sidewalk until Saturday, 11/9/24.

I was invited to discuss the upsides and downsides of central planning on two recent podcasts:

Charles Hugh Smith on the China Real Estate Bubble (29:28 min) Host Richard B. of the Financial Repression Authority

Charles Hugh Smith on The failure(s) of central planning across the globe (42:56 min) Host Rob S. of the Contrarian Capitalist (Substack)




My recent books:

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The Mythology of Progress, Anti-Progress and a Mythology for the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, Hardcover $24 (215 pages, 2024) Read the Introduction and first chapter for free (PDF)

Self-Reliance in the 21st Century print $18, (Kindle $8.95, audiobook $13.08 (96 pages, 2022) Read the first chapter for free (PDF)

The Asian Heroine Who Seduced Me (Novel) print $10.95, Kindle $6.95 Read an excerpt for free (PDF)

When You Can't Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal $18 print, $8.95 Kindle ebook; audiobook Read the first section for free (PDF)

Global Crisis, National Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Strategy for the United States (Kindle $9.95, print $24, audiobook) Read Chapter One for free (PDF).

A Hacker's Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $8.95, print $20, audiobook $17.46) Read the first section for free (PDF).

Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Profit, Power, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $5, print $10, audiobook) Read the first section for free (PDF).

The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake (Novel) $4.95 Kindle, $10.95 print); read the first chapters for free (PDF)

Money and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print)
Read the first section for free


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