What Happens to Sales and Employment When Corporate Profits Fall?
Corporate profits are back at the levels reached in 1990, 1999 and 2008 that presaged recessions and a a sharp downturn in sales and employment.
It really isn't a surprise that corporate profits are falling: not only is the stronger U.S. dollar (USD) crushing the overseas profits of U.S. global corporations when reported in USD, but both the U.S. and global economies are slowing.
The second chart displays corporate profits, real final sales and employment. In this chart, corporate profits are adjusted for real GDP (i.e. adjusted for inflation). Note that profits lead sales and employment: when profits drop, sales and employment typically follow. This chart tracks year-over-year (YoY) changes:
Corporate profits are back at the levels reached in 1990, 1999 and 2008 that presaged recessions and a a sharp downturn in sales and employment. Profits adjusted for real GDP are noisy, but the recent drop in profits is clear.
Get a Job, Build a Real Career and Defy a Bewildering Economy(Kindle, $9.95)(print, $20)
Are you like me? Ever since my first summer job decades ago, I've been chasing financial security. Not win-the-lottery, Bill Gates riches (although it would be nice!), but simply a feeling of financial control. I want my financial worries to if not disappear at least be manageable and comprehensible.
And like most of you, the way I've moved toward my goal has always hinged not just on having a job but a career.
You don't have to be a financial blogger to know that "having a job" and "having a career" do not mean the same thing today as they did when I first started swinging a hammer for a paycheck.
Even the basic concept "getting a job" has changed so radically that jobs--getting and keeping them, and the perceived lack of them--is the number one financial topic among friends, family and for that matter, complete strangers.
So I sat down and wrote this book: Get a Job, Build a Real Career and Defy a Bewildering Economy.
It details everything I've verified about employment and the economy, and lays out an action plan to get you employed.
I am proud of this book. It is the culmination of both my practical work experiences and my financial analysis, and it is a useful, practical, and clarifying read.
Test drive the first section and see for yourself. Kindle, $9.95 print, $20
"I want to thank you for creating your book Get a Job, Build a Real Career and Defy a Bewildering Economy. It is rare to find a person with a mind like yours, who can take a holistic systems view of things without being captured by specific perspectives or agendas. Your contribution to humanity is much appreciated."
Laura Y.
Gordon Long and I discuss The New Nature of Work: Jobs, Occupations & Careers(25 minutes, YouTube)
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